Election betting – FairOdds Network

January 10, 2025

2025 predictions: Brazil to remain fluid, adopting novel betting types, sponsorships may be reviewed

How will the gambling sector evolve in 2025? We asked the industry to consider how key trends in 2024 will progress into this year

Ushering in 2025, the sector has hit the ground running in preparation for ICE Barcelona in a couple of weeks. Across the pond a couple of US states have kicked off their legislative sessions this year with bills supporting online gaming launches. But the holiday period provided enough downtime to reflect on ways the gaming industry evolved in 2024 and then consider what will likely dominate the headlines and earnings calls in the year to come.

Brazil’s legal online betting launch captured the most eyes in 2024’s news flow, and how the licensed market will navigate its infancy stages will pique the sector’s interest in coming months. Last summer, 113 operators applied for early-stage licences to enter the market, hoping to be among the first to launch on 1 January.

Brazil’s SPA then awarded 66 approvals at the turn of the year, including 14 full and 52..

December 19, 2024

Bill to ban election betting filed in US congress

The legislative initiative responds to concerns that election betting could lead to the manipulation of results.

Representatives Jamie Raskin and Andrea Salinas today (19 December) introduced the Ban Gambling on Elections Act, a legislative effort to prohibit wagering on US elections. The move addresses growing concerns over the impact of political betting on election integrity and public trust in the democratic process.

This bill, a house counterpart to Senator Jeff Merkley’s legislation, aims to amend the Commodity Exchange Act to explicitly ban election betting.

Raskin emphasised the importance of maintaining public confidence in the electoral system. He described election betting as a practice that reduces democratic participation to a profit-driven gamble. Raskin said democracy requires transparent and trustworthy voting processes. He suggested that election betting creates a system clouded by betting odds and the influence of wagers.

This kind of betting “undermines” democrac..

November 4, 2024

Rush to the polls, bet from anywhere: Prediction markets abound ahead of US elections

On 5 November, US voters will elect a new president and decide a litany of other political issues. What makes this election different from past ones is that investors – and bettors – have pounced on the rise of political prediction markets such as Kalshi.

Prediction markets, or derivatives exchanges that offer “yes/no” event futures contracts on current events like politics and pop culture, have been around for several years in relative grey-area obscurity. But a recent US federal court ruling appears to have opened the floodgates, at least for now.

On 2 October, the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia ruled in favour of Kalshi, a New York-based exchange whose senate- and house-related contracts had been delisted by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in June 2023. The CFTC argued unsuccessfully that the contracts involved gaming due to their speculative nature.

Kalshi, meanwhile, leaned into arguments that have similarities to those used for legalised sp..

September 17, 2024

CFTC: Lower court made several errors in allowing Kalshi’s US political futures

Last week, two federal court rulings allowed then subsequently disallowed Kalshi from offering futures contracts on the outcome of congressional elections. Over the weekend, federal regulators said it should have never been allowed in the first place.
On 12 September, Judge Jia Cobb from the US District Court for the District of Columbia Circuit ruled that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) “exceeded its statutory authority” when it halted the contracts last year. But hours later, the CFTC appealed to the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. That court granted a stay, meaning Kalshi cannot offer futures until the appeals court rules. Kalshi and the CFTC are scheduled to give oral arguments for the case on Thursday (19 September).

Kalshi and the CFTC will face off in court- again- on Thursday, to debate the commission's argument that election betting should be frozen pending its appeal pic.twitter.com/GEPbuc5I2D
— Alexander Osipovich (@aosipovic..

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Tag: Election betting