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Super Bowl LIX: Record projections, prediction markets and prop scrutiny

This Sunday (9 February), the two-time reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs will defend their title against the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX. The game is America's biggest stage, for legal bookmakers, illegal ones and everything in between.

As of this writing, the Chiefs are 1.5-point favourites over the Eagles at most major books, with the exception of Caesars Sportsbook (-1). The line has held steady since it opened following the conference championships 26 January. Kansas City is almost universally -120 on the moneyline, with Philadelphia hovering around even (+100) up to +105 at Bet365.

The over/under for the game opened at 50.5 points, but books now vary between 49.5, 49 and 48.5. The fact that it has gone down is likely in response to the Eagles’ first-ranked defence. That said, Kansas City has scored at least 25 points in three of its four Super Bowl appearances since 2019. The only time it didn’t was 2021, when it lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-9.

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